Market Timing

8-28-11

 

Performance Update as of 8-26-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

 

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done by me based upon closing prices from Yahoo Finance (does not include dividends).

 

The weighting for the World Market Cap benchmark will be as follows:

VT at 50.0% weighting = 13.11% YTD x 50.00%= 6.555%

VB at 20.7% weighting = 28.10% YTD x 20.70%= 5.817%

VSS at 29.3% weighting =25.44%YTD x 29.30%= 7.454%

--------

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark =   19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:                      –14.15% YTD

 

SPY:                                                                –8.0% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                                              28.61% YTD

Alternate Moose:

Monthly Timing:

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                       #1 GLD

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                      #1 GLD    #2 TLT     #3 DBA

 

 

Monthly Timing:                       #1 BTTRX or TLT (Bonds) (August)

 

Starting next month, I will have two monthly timing models. The first one will use the 9 select sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF and EPP. The second one will have the same ETFs as my Alternate Moose, which are SPY, IWM, ILF, VNQ, IEV, EWJ, EPP, GLD, DBC, DBA, UUP, UDN, SH, TLT and TBF. They both will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of the SPY is negative. I will start to track the year to date returns beginning in January, 2012.

 

Sandy

Market Timing

8-20-11

 

 

Performance Update as of 8-19-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

 

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done

by me based upon closing prices from Yahoo Finance (does not include dividends).

 

The weighting for the World Market Cap benchmark will be as follows:

VT at 50.0% weighting = 13.11% YTD x 50.00%= 6.555%

VB at 20.7% weighting = 28.10% YTD x 20.70%= 5.817%

VSS at 29.3% weighting =25.44%YTD x 29.30%= 7.454%

--------

 

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:          –12.74% YTD

 

SPY:                                                   –9.6% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                                 30.40% YTD

Alternate Moose:

Monthly Timing:

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                            #1 GLD

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                          #1 GLD    #2 TLT    #3 SH

 

Monthly Timing:                            #1 BTTRX or TLT (Bonds) (August)

 

Starting next month, I will have two monthly timing models. The first one will use the 9 select sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF and EPP. The second one will have the same ETFs as my Alternate Moose, which are SPY, IWM, ILF, VNQ, IEV, EWJ, EPP, GLD, DBC, DBA, UUP, UDN, SH, TLT and TBF. They both will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of  the SPY is negative. I will start to track the year to date returns beginning in January, 2012.

 

 

Please let me know if you don't want to receive these e-mails anymore and I will remove you from my list.

 

Sandy

Market Timing

8-14-11

 

Performance Update as of 8-12-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done by me based upon closing prices from Yahoo Finance (does not include dividends).

 

The weighting for the World Market Cap benchmark will be as follows:

VT at 50.0% weighting = 13.11% YTD x 50.00%= 6.555%

VB at 20.7% weighting = 28.10% YTD x 20.70%= 5.817%

VSS at 29.3% weighting =25.44%YTD x 29.30%= 7.454%

--------

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:      –12.97% YTD

 

SPY:                                               –8.3% YTD

Decision Moose:                             23.17% YTD

Alternate Moose:

Monthly Timing:

PICKS:

Decision Moose:       #1 GLD

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:      #1 GLD    #2 TLT      #3 DBA

 

Monthly Timing:       #1 BTTRX or TLT (Bonds)

 

For Monthly timing I will use the 9 select sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF, EWZ, and EPP. It will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of the SPY is negative.

 

Sandy

Market Timing

8-6-11

 

Performance Update as of 8-5-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

 

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done by me based upon closing prices from Yahoo Finance (does not include dividends).

 

The weighting for the World Market Cap benchmark will be as follows:

VT at 50.0% weighting = 13.11% YTD x 50.00%= 6.555%

VB at 20.7% weighting = 28.10% YTD x 20.70%= 5.817%

VSS at 29.3% weighting =25.44%YTD x 29.30%= 7.454%

--------

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:      –7.06% YTD

 

SPY:                                            –3.6% YTD

Decision Moose:                           17.21% YTD

Alternate Moose:

Monthly Timing:

PICKS:

Decision Moose:        #1 GLD

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:       #1 GLD     #2 TLT     #3 DBA

 

Monthly Timing:         #1 BTTRX or TLT (Bonds) (Augusts’s Pick)

 

For Monthly timing I will use the 9 select sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF, EWZ, and EPP. It will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of the SPY is negative.

 

Please let me know if you don't want to receive these e-mails anymore and I will remove you from my list.

You can also get these results on my blog that was set up by Colin at:

http://sandysmarkettiming.blogspot.com/

 

Sandy