Market Timing

12-25-11

 

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:                                              –11.24% YTD

 

SPY                                                                                         2.6% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                                                                    14.20% YTD

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                                 #1 BTTRX or TLT or EDV or ZROZ

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                                #1 VNQ #2 TLT #3 IWM

 

Monthly Timing (Select):                      BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Monthly Timing (Alt. Moose):               BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Sandy

Market Timing

12-18-11

 

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:                           –12.79% YTD

 

SPY                                                                      -1.3% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                                                  17.33% YTD

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                              #1 BTTRX or TLT or EDV or ZROZ

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                             #1 TLT    #2 VNQ    #3 IWM

 

Monthly Timing (Select):                  BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Monthly Timing (Alt. Moose):           BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Sandy

Market Timing

12-11-11

 

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:                         –9.04% YTD

 

SPY                                                                   1.7% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                                             12.89 % YTD

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                                   #1 BTTRX or TLT or EDV or ZROZ

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                                  #1 GLD    #2 TLT    #3 IWM

 

Monthly Timing (Select):                       BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Monthly Timing (Alt. Moose):                BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Sandy

Market Timing

12-4-11

 

Note: I plan on doing some traveling next year, and as a consequence, it will

be difficult to do these updates. Therefore, I will discontinue the updates at

the end of this year.

 

Performance Update as of 12-2-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

 

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done by me (does not include dividends).

 

Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:        –9.27% YTD

 

SPY                                                    .7% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                             13.96 % YTD

Alternate Moose:

Monthly Timing:

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                             #1 BTTRX or TLT or EDV or ZROZ

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                            #1 IWM     #2 SPY     #3 VNQ

 

Monthly Timing (Select):                  BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

Monthly Timing (Alt. Moose):            BTTRX or TLT (Bonds-December)

 

I have two monthly timing models. The first one will use the 9 select

sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF and EPP. The second one will have the same ETFs as my Alternate Moose, which are SPY, IWM, ILF, VNQ, IEV, EWJ, EPP, GLD, DBC, DBA, UUP, UDN, SH, TLT and TBF.

They both will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of the SPY is negative.