Market Timing

7-23-11

 

Performance Update as of 7-22-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done by me (does not include dividends).

 

The weighting for the World Market Cap benchmark will be as follows:

VT at 50.0% weighting = 13.11% YTD x 50.00%= 6.555%

VB at 20.7% weighting = 28.10% YTD x 20.70%= 5.817%

VSS at 29.3% weighting =25.44%YTD x 29.30%= 7.454%

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Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark: 6.23% YTD

 

SPY: 8.0% YTD

Decision Moose: 13.13% YTD

Alternate Moose: ?

Monthly Timing: 18.24 % YTD

PICKS:

Decision Moose:          #1 GLD

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:         #1 DBC      #2 GLD      #3 VNQ

 

Monthly Timing:          #1 XLV (Healthcare)

 

For Monthly timing I will use the 9 select sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF, EWZ, EPP and EWW. It will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of the SPY is negative.

 

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Sandy