Market Timing

9-11-11

Performance Update as of 9-9-11 for SPY, VT, VB and VSS are from

ETFreplay.com (includes dividends).

 

Updates for the Moose, Alternate Moose and Monthly Timing Model are done by me based upon closing prices from Yahoo Finance (does not include dividends).

 

The weighting for the World Market Cap benchmark will be as follows:

VT at 50.0% weighting = 13.11% YTD x 50.00%= 6.555%

VB at 20.7% weighting = 28.10% YTD x 20.70%= 5.817%

VSS at 29.3% weighting =25.44%YTD x 29.30%= 7.454%

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Total return for 2010 for the market cap weighted benchmark = 19.826%

 

2011 Returns:

 

World Market Cap Benchmark:            –16.70% YTD

 

SPY:                                                        9.9% YTD

 

Decision Moose:                                     30.95% YTD

Alternate Moose:

Monthly Timing:

PICKS:

Decision Moose:                         #1 GLD

http://www.decisionmoose.com/Moosignal.html

Alternate Moose:                        #1 GLD     #2 TLT      #3 DBA

 

Monthly Timing (Select):            BTTRX or TLT (Bonds)

Monthly Timing (Alt. Moose):      BTTRX or TLT (Bonds)

 

I have two monthly timing models. The first one will use the 9 select

sector SPDR ETFs, plus ILF and EPP. The second one will have the same ETFs as my Alternate Moose, which are SPY, IWM, ILF, VNQ, IEV, EWJ, EPP, GLD, DBC, DBA, UUP, UDN, SH, TLT and TBF.

They both will use a 6 month look back and will go to bonds if the 7 month moving average of the SPY is negative. I will start to track the year to date returns beginning in January, 2012.

 

Sandy